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Economic commentary: A new early warning indicator of financial fragility in Sweden
17/01/2018 -In this economic commentary, the authors propose a new early warning indicator of financial fragility and apply it to the Swedish financial sector. The early warning indicator (EWI) is designed to give a numerical assessment of the build-up of...
Several risks for households in tenant-owned housing
22/02/2018 -The debts and interest-rate sensitivity of housing cooperatives can increase the risks associated with household indebtedness. If the cooperative has to increase its fees to service its debt, the household may not only have to pay higher monthly...
Covered bond purchases had some effect on mortgage rates
19/12/2022 -The Riksbank’s purchases of covered bonds during the coronavirus pandemic contributed to a fall in mortgage rates. The purchases had the fastest and largest effect on mortgage rates with a fixation period of between one and two years. These are...
How much is inflation affected by monetary policy?
20/12/2022 -Since 2021, inflation has risen and monetary policy has been tightened in many countries, as a result of central banks having both increased their policy rates and reduced their holdings of financial assets. These are significant changes in...
The Riksbank reports the carbon footprint for its holdings of corporate bonds
31/03/2021 -The Riksbank is now taking a first step towards reporting its own climate-related risks on the Riksbank’s balance sheet. By calculating and reporting the carbon footprint of the corporate bond holdings, the Riksbank wishes to help promote...
Why have US long-term yields risen?
11/05/2021 -It is primarily rising term premiums, not higher policy-rate expectations, that explain the increase in US long-term yields since last summer. This is according to an analysis by Jan Alsterlind at the Monetary Policy Department.
Survey analysis of the financial market’s inflation expectations
19/05/2021 -An analysis of the Riksbank’s various surveys of inflation expectations shows that the money market participants’ long-term inflation expectations, on average, have been close to the inflation target of 2 per cent since 2010.
Pass-through of negative policy rates
28/05/2021 -There is a strong link between the repo rate and the interest rates faced by borrowers. This link was strong even when the repo rate was negative. This is demonstrated by Henrik Erikson and David Vestin in the Economic Commentary “Pass-through...
The Phillips curve appears to be intact in Sweden
21/02/2019 -The relationship between resource utilisation and inflation, the so-called Phillips curve, has been increasingly called into question in recent years. However, an analysis of detailed firm-level data indicates that the relationship still...
How bad loans affect banks and financial stability
14/03/2019 -Bad loans arise when the borrower no longer pays in accordance with terms of the loan. Large volumes of bad loans can cause banks to encounter problems with their capital adequacy and, at worst, lead to bankruptcy. The Economic Commentary “Bad...