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Increased imports from China expected to have little impact on inflation in the short term
08/09/2025 -The increase in tariffs has reduced US imports from China. Data shows that Sweden and the United States import similar goods from China, which suggests that China could fairly easily redirect its exports to the Swedish market through already...
Analysis of the Riksbank's asset purchases to increase transparency
21/06/2021 -Crisis measures taken by central banks around the world have been important in counteracting the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic. And as many policy rates were already low prior to the pandemic, rescue purchases of securities have...
Pass-through of negative policy rates
28/05/2021 -There is a strong link between the repo rate and the interest rates faced by borrowers. This link was strong even when the repo rate was negative. This is demonstrated by Henrik Erikson and David Vestin in the Economic Commentary “Pass-through...
The Riksbank reports the carbon footprint for its holdings of corporate bonds
31/03/2021 -The Riksbank is now taking a first step towards reporting its own climate-related risks on the Riksbank’s balance sheet. By calculating and reporting the carbon footprint of the corporate bond holdings, the Riksbank wishes to help promote...
Why have US long-term yields risen?
11/05/2021 -It is primarily rising term premiums, not higher policy-rate expectations, that explain the increase in US long-term yields since last summer. This is according to an analysis by Jan Alsterlind at the Monetary Policy Department.
Survey analysis of the financial market’s inflation expectations
19/05/2021 -An analysis of the Riksbank’s various surveys of inflation expectations shows that the money market participants’ long-term inflation expectations, on average, have been close to the inflation target of 2 per cent since 2010.
Difficult to make forecasts when conditions change drastically
19/01/2024 -Neither the central banks nor other forecasters predicted how quickly inflation would rise in 2021 and 2022, and inflation forecasts accordingly showed major forecasting errors. The Riksbank's forecasting ability for 2021 was good. In 2022 it...
How well are inflation expectations anchored at the target?
18/12/2023 -If the inflation target is credible, long-term inflation expectations in the economy are stable close to the target. In a new article, the authors examine how expected inflation in five years' time will be affected by the previous inflation...
Price changes in Sweden – insights from five million observations
17/01/2022 -What affects inflation most – how often or how much do the prices of goods and services change? Riksbank economists Jacob Ewertzh, Mathias Klein and Oskar Tysklind have found this out by analysing five million price observations between the...
New challengers on the mortgage market
15/01/2020 -In Sweden, the norm is for mortgages to be issued by banks. But new players, known as mortgage credit companies, are now challenging this norm. A new Economic Commentary describes the development of these new players in Sweden and draws...